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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Globe Arena
Bolton logo

Morecambe
1 - 1
Bolton

Stockton (73')
Smith (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakayoko (90+5')
Johnston (45')
Santos (69')

Preview: Morecambe vs. Bolton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides who could hardly be in any more contrasting form heading into Saturday's clash, high-flying Bolton Wanderers will travel to fellow-Lancashire outfit Morecambe with the hosts in the midst of a relegation scrap.

Points is the only currency that will prevent the Shrimps from suffering an immediate return to the fourth tier, with time running out for Morecambe to save their League One status.


Match preview

Bolton Wanderers' Marlon Fossey in action on January 11, 2022© Reuters

Of the four sides currently occupying a space in the League One drop zone, Morecambe remain best placed to escape relegation with only two points separating them to 20th-placed AFC Wimbledon.

A six-point gap separates Morecambe with Crewe Alexandra in 22nd, making the Shrimps the most likely to climb out of the relegation zone, but with only one win in their previous five league games, that remains easier said than done.

Keeping clean sheets has been an issue that has plagued Morecambe's campaign so far, with just two shutouts in the league for the Lancashire side since the beginning of October – a run that stretches across 19 matches.

For Bolton, they are a side that cannot stop keeping clean sheets, as the Whites have not conceded a goal in over 360 minutes of football.

Winning all four of the matches in that run, what had looked to be a stuttering campaign for Ian Evatt's side suddenly looks a lot more promising.

It is likely that their early-season form will cost them a shot at a playoff berth, but with just over a quarter of the campaign left to play, Bolton sit an unlikely but not impossible 12 points off the top six.

History suggests another three points is likely on order for Bolton this weekend, given they have never lost a competitive match to Morecambe.

Yet to play each other this season, the pair locked horns twice last year, when Bolton drew one meeting with the Shrimps while winning the other.

Morecambe League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Morecambe form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Bolton Wanderers League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Bolton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Morecambe's Cole Stockton celebrates scoring their first goal against Blackburn Rovers in the EFL Cup on August 10, 2021© Reuters

What has been, on the whole, a pretty dismal campaign for Morecambe has at least had one bright spark throughout: striker Cole Stockton.

Having netted 17 goals for the relegation candidates so far, the Shrimps' talisman will once again line-up alongside widemen Jonah Ayunga and Arthur Gnahoua.

Toumani Diagouraga is expected to operate in the middle of the park, with Jacob Bedeau and Anthony O'Connor partnering each other in the centre of defence.

For Bolton, their star man will come in the shape of Oladapo Afolayan, who has scored three goals and assisted a further two in his last four games for the Wanderers.

Expect Afolayan to provide creativity for Amadou Bakayoko, who is also looking to score in back-to-back games after netting in the midweek win over Cambridge United.

James Trafford is a dead-cert to keep his place between the sticks, having kept four clean sheet in four games since arriving at the University of Bolton Stadium, on loan from Manchester City.

Morecambe possible starting lineup:
Carson; Cooney, O'Connor, Bedeau, McLaughlin; Diagouraga, Mcloughlin, Phillips; Ayunga, Stockton, Gnahoua

Bolton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Trafford; Jones, Santos, Johnston; Fossey, Williams, Morley, John; Afolayan, Charles, Bakayoko


SM words green background

We say: Morecambe 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

Right now, it is difficult to see where Bolton's next defeat is coming from, such is the confidence that Evatt's side are playing with.

A Lancashire derby could provide a headache for the Whites, but it is unlikely that Morecambe will have enough to take anything off Bolton this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:477129:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8931:
Written by
Amos Murphy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Morecambe vs Bolton

Morecambe
0.0%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
94.4%
18
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Wycombe Wanderers' Brandon Hanlan celebrates scoring their first goal on January 11, 2022
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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