National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 0Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chorley |
38.31% ( 1.03) | 27.89% ( -0.07) | 33.8% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.02% ( 0.16) | 57.98% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.32% ( 0.12) | 78.68% ( -0.13) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.7) | 29.32% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( 0.85) | 65.29% ( -0.85) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( -0.56) | 32.16% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( -0.64) | 68.64% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 38.31%
Chorley 33.79%
Draw 27.89%
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chorley |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.79% |
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chorley
0-0
Alfreton
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-17 14:43:47
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chorley | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
2 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 29 |
5 | Buxton | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Brackley Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 27 |
8 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 26 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
11 | SouthportSouthport | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
13 | Leamington FCLeamington | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
14 | Darlington | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
15 | South Shields | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
16 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
17 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
18 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 20 |
19 | Oxford CityOxford City | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Warrington Town | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
21 | RadcliffeRadcliffe | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Marine AFC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 13 |
23 | Needham Market | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 12 |
24 | Rushall Olympic | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
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