Darlington

2 - 1

Hereford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.