National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)
Gloucester City3 - 0Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gloucester City | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
37.51% ( -0.56) | 25.79% ( 0.06) | 36.71% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% ( -0.26) | 49.22% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( -0.23) | 71.28% ( 0.23) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( -0.43) | 25.63% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( -0.59) | 60.52% ( 0.59) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.92% ( 0.16) | 26.08% ( -0.16) |