Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.