National League North | Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field
Spennymoor2 - 1Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
57
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
36.8% ( 0.09) | 27.16% ( 0.04) | 36.04% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
