MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 16:35:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
St Albans City

Akinwande (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Castiglione (66'), Deadfield (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawSt Albans City
33.79% (-0.13 -0.13) 24.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.83% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)65.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.92% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)59.55% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.075000000000003 0.08)20.78% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.118 0.12)53.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 33.79%
    St Albans City 41.83%
    Draw 24.37%
AFC HornchurchDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.83%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston16104227121534
2Truro CityTruro City1794427151231
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne179442622431
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd178632216630
5Farnborough TownFarnborough179352823530
6Dorking WanderersDorking188553428629
7Slough TownSlough1784531201128
8Worthing168442627-128
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1675425141126
10Chesham UnitedChesham147342620624
11Hampton & RichmondHampton166462217522
12Chippenham TownChippenham176472219322
13Maidstone UnitedMaidstone155731715222
14Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.186482531-622
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City165652724321
16Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels145631815321
17AFC HornchurchHornchurch165561517-220
18Salisbury164572227-517
19Welling UnitedWelling United1751111632-1616
20Bath City164391022-1215
21St Albans CitySt Albans City162681623-712
22Weymouth162681121-1012
23Aveley1632111728-1111
24Enfield Town1631121537-2210


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