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National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
0 - 1
Dartford

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradbury (90+5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Aveley
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Dartford

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Dartford win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawDartford
46.79% (-0.186 -0.19) 26.76% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 26.44% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (-0.189 -0.19)56.47% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (-0.153 -0.15)77.47% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.169 -0.17)24.13% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.244 -0.24)58.44% (0.247 0.25)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.88% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 46.79%
    Dartford 26.44%
    Draw 26.76%
AveleyDrawDartford
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.79%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.44%

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