National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Aveley2 - 0Weston
Ibie (41'), Vaz (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Weston-super-Mare.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
44.47% ( -0.34) | 25.19% ( 0.05) | 30.35% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
