National League South | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City4 - 2Eastbourne
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Eastbourne Borough.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Slough
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
59.75% ( -0.03) | 23.32% ( 0.04) | 16.93% |
Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( -0.13) | 53.29% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( -0.11) | 74.84% ( 0.11) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.05) | 17.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% ( -0.1) | 48.05% ( 0.1) |
Eastbourne Borough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.13% ( -0.08) | 44.87% ( 0.08) |