MX23RW : Monday, August 5 02:32:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Farnborough Town

Mills (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawFarnborough Town
31.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.79% (0.113 0.11) 41.55% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.437 -0.44)54.24% (0.44 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.365 -0.37)75.64% (0.369 0.37)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.229 -0.23)31.7% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.264 -0.26)68.12% (0.26700000000001 0.27)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-0.252 -0.25)25.75% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.344 -0.34)60.68% (0.347 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 31.66%
    Farnborough Town 41.54%
    Draw 26.79%
Chelmsford CityDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.54%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Chelmsford City
3-2
Farnborough Town
Winfield (42'), Folivi (54', 89')
Bloomfield (9', 52')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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