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National League South | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
0 - 1
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Lodovica (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawChelmsford City
34.72% (-1.655 -1.65) 27.71% (0.807 0.81) 37.57% (0.848 0.85)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-2.625 -2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (-3.244 -3.24)57.2% (3.244 3.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-2.653 -2.65)78.05% (2.652 2.65)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-2.636 -2.64)31.15% (2.636 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-3.189 -3.19)67.48% (3.19 3.19)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-1.068 -1.07)29.37% (1.067 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (-1.328 -1.33)65.36% (1.327 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 34.72%
    Chelmsford City 37.57%
    Draw 27.7%
Farnborough TownDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.67% (0.55 0.55)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 9.15% (1.078 1.08)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.39 -0.39)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 11.21% (1.03 1.03)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.438 0.44)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.57%

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