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National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Ruff (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Iaciofano (77' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
59.12% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.77% (0.317 0.32) 17.11% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.56% (-0.681 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-1.019 -1.02)54.69% (1.023 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.851 -0.85)76.02% (0.854 0.85)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)18.27% (0.528 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.901 -0.9)49.33% (0.906 0.91)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.52% (-0.476 -0.48)45.47% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (-0.377 -0.38)81.31% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 59.11%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 17.11%
    Draw 23.77%
Chelmsford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 14.12% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 12% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.325 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: Chelmsford City vs Hemel Hempstead

Chelmsford City
82.4%
Draw
17.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Chelmsford City
2-1
Hemel Hempstead
Jackson (50' pen.), Ruff (83')
Lelan (90')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Hemel Hempstead
2-2
Chelmsford City
Hughes (74'), Fonkeu (81')
Sheringham (11'), Rush (69')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Chelmsford City
1-2
Hemel Hempstead
Olowu (84')
Cerulli (11'), Fasanmade (55')
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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