National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hempstead1 - 2Weymouth
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Weymouth.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Weymouth |
30.03% ( -0.72) | 25.87% ( -0.12) | 44.1% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( 0.22) | 51.11% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( 0.19) | 72.96% ( -0.19) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.75% ( -0.4) | 31.25% ( 0.4) |