National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 1Havant & W'ville
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Havant & Waterlooville.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
46.32% ( 0.04) | 25.73% ( 0.06) | 27.95% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% ( -0.31) | 51.62% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.27) | 73.41% ( 0.26) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( -0.11) | 22.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( -0.16) | 55.71% ( 0.16) |
Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.93% ( -0.24) | 33.06% ( 0.24) |