Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.