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National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 1
Bath City

Harvey (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayfield (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawBath City
41.35% (0.219 0.22) 26.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 31.94% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.15 0.15)53.83% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.127 0.13)75.29% (-0.129 -0.13)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (0.18599999999999 0.19)25.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (0.251 0.25)60.57% (-0.253 -0.25)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)31.3% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)67.65% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 41.34%
    Bath City 31.94%
    Draw 26.71%
Truro CityDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.34%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.94%

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