Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.