Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.16% ( -0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.01) | 56.28% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% ( 0.01) | 66.73% ( -0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.7% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 0.01) | 15.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.46% ( 0.02) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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