Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.