Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
