Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
52.12% ( 0.05) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( -0) | 41.94% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% | 64.35% ( -0) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% ( 0.02) | 16.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% ( 0.03) | 45.6% ( -0.03) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( -0.04) | 30.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( -0.05) | 66.5% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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