Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.