Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.