Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
21.16% ( 1.3) | 22.12% ( 0.72) | 56.73% ( -2.02) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -1.48) | 42.35% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.24% ( -1.49) | 64.75% ( 1.5) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.43) | 33.82% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0.46) | 70.49% ( -0.46) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( -1.12) | 14.74% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( -2.19) | 42.96% ( 2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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