Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Wealdstone |
43.98% ( -0.03) | 24.63% ( 0.01) | 31.39% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0.02) | 45.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% ( -0.02) | 67.53% ( 0.03) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( -0.02) | 20.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( -0.04) | 53.2% ( 0.04) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( -0) | 27.35% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% | 62.81% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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