Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Maidenhead United in this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
43.37% ( -2.48) | 24.74% ( 0.02) | 31.88% ( 2.45) |
Both teams to score 57.47% ( 1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.47% ( 1.01) | 45.52% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( 0.95) | 67.85% ( -0.95) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% ( -0.68) | 21.05% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.15% ( -1.07) | 53.85% ( 1.07) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( 2.14) | 27.2% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( 2.7) | 62.61% ( -2.7) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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