Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
61.07% ( 4.58) | 21.61% ( -1.4) | 17.32% ( -3.18) |
Both teams to score 51.35% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 1.31) | 45.79% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 1.23) | 68.11% ( -1.22) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.49% ( 1.96) | 14.51% ( -1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% ( 3.66) | 42.51% ( -3.66) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( -2.76) | 39.93% ( 2.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -2.63) | 76.59% ( 2.64) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.06% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) Other @ 1% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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