Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Woking had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Woking win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Woking |
41.92% ( 6.03) | 24.96% ( -0.66) | 33.12% ( -5.37) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( 1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( 2.44) | 46.08% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( 2.27) | 68.38% ( -2.27) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( 4.26) | 21.96% ( -4.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( 6.07) | 55.25% ( -6.07) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -1.93) | 26.7% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( -2.62) | 61.95% ( 2.62) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Woking |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.78) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.87) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.81) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.49) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -1.32) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -1.21) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.69) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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