Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Fylde |
45.77% ( -0.54) | 26.5% ( -0.06) | 27.73% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 49.58% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.27% ( 0.57) | 54.73% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.95% ( 0.47) | 76.05% ( -0.47) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( -0.01) | 23.86% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% ( -0.01) | 58.04% ( 0.01) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% ( 0.79) | 34.88% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( 0.82) | 71.62% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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