National League | Gameweek 35

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
3 - 2
Altrincham

Dieseruvwe (49', 53' pen.), Ferguson (69')
Crawford (41'), Dieseruvwe (61'), Cooke (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kosylo (33'), Angus (90+1')
Southern-Cooper (60'), Osborne (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Altrincham
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Altrincham
49.13% ( 1.4)	24.28% ( -0.38)	26.59% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

0.9)

46.43% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

0.84)

68.71% (

-0.84)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

0.93)

18.96% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

1.52)

50.49% (

-1.52)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-0.31)

31.38% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

-0.37)

67.75% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 49.13%

Altrincham 26.59%

Draw 24.27%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49.13%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.59%