Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.16% | 25.36% | 24.48% |
Both teams to score 50.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.46% | 52.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.8% | 74.2% |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% | 20.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.29% | 53.71% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% | 36.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% | 73.22% |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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