UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Albania
1 - 2
Israel

Broja (45+2' pen.)
Abrashi (9'), Cekici (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Solomon (57', 73')
Karzev (17'), Jaber (45+2'), Safouri (80'), Peretz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Albania and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

Last Six:

Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Albania
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Israel

Last Six:

Last Game: Israel 2-2 Iceland
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

With relegation not an option for either of these nations, they are free to throw caution to the wind in the search of glory. Nevertheless, there is very little between the two teams, and we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Albania	Draw	Israel
46.82% ( 0.09)	23.98% ( 0.01)	29.2% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.09)

43.37% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.09)

65.76% (

0.09)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

-0)

18.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.95% (

-0)

50.05% (

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0.11)

27.9% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

-0.14)

63.51% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Albania 46.82%

Israel 29.2%

Draw 23.98%

Albania	Draw	Israel
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.2%