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Israel national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Iceland national football team

Israel
2 - 2
Iceland

Abada (25'), Weissman (84')
Karzev (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Israel and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Israel 2-2 Iceland
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Albania vs. Israel
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iceland vs. Israel
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Israel 3-1 Iceland

Despite Iceland having been involved in the top tier of this competition more recently, they have a battle on their hands to avoid finishing bottom of this three-nation group. This represents a tough start to their campaign, and we are expecting Israel to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Iceland win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
IsraelDrawIceland
49.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 24.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (0.023000000000003 0.02)49.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (0.02 0.02)71.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.12% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.57% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.012 0.01)70.21% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Israel 49.43%
    Iceland 25.76%
    Draw 24.79%
IsraelDrawIceland
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Israel vs Iceland

Israel
Draw
Iceland
Israel
76.3%
Draw
11.8%
Iceland
11.8%
152
rhs 2.0
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