MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:23:31| >> :600:2249952:2249952:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Netherlands national football team

Germany
1 - 0
Netherlands

Leweling (64')
Rudiger (63'), Schlotterbeck (90+3'), Anton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reijnders (30'), Wieffer (63'), Simons (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Stuttgart attacker Jamie Leweling scores on his international debut to fire Germany to a narrow 1-0 victory over the Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Germany and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up in their clash with rivals Germany in the UEFA Nations League on Monday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-2 Germany
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Netherlands
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawNetherlands
43.27% (-0.778 -0.78) 24.8% (0.058 0.06) 31.93% (0.718 0.72)
Both teams to score 57.3% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.07% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-0.342 -0.34)21.19% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-0.533 -0.53)54.07% (0.532 0.53)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.476 0.48)27.29% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.614 0.61)62.73% (-0.614 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Germany 43.27%
    Netherlands 31.93%
    Draw 24.8%
GermanyDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.115 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.93%

How you voted: Germany vs Netherlands

Germany
72.8%
Draw
16.2%
Netherlands
11.0%
272
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
2-2
Germany
Reijnders (2'), Dumfries (50')
Undav (38'), Kimmich (45+3')
Schlotterbeck (14'), Tah (24'), Raum (32'), Wirtz (86')
> Match Report
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Germany
2-1
Netherlands
Mittelstadt (11'), Fullkrug (85')
Andrich (53'), Kroos (66')
Veerman (4')
Blind (17')
> Match Report
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
Bergwijn (68')
Depay (29'), de Jong (86')
Muller (45+1')
Raum (83'), Rudiger (89')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Germany
2-4
Netherlands
> Match Report
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
2-3
Germany
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!