UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Greece
2 - 0
Kosovo

Giakoumakis (71'), Mantalos (90+9')
Giakoumakis (80'), Mantalos (81'), Vlachodimos (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kryeziu (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Greece and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

Last Six:

Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Kosovo

Last Six:

Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Greece	0	0	0
3	Cyprus	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Meetings between these two nations - fairly frequent over the past couple of years - have tended to be tightly contested, with Greece dictating play but their Kosovar counterparts often grinding out a draw. While the visitors have lost only one of their last six fixtures, that was against the Greeks last week, and the visitors can now complete the double in short succession, as they continue to flourish under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Kosovo
58.86% ( -0.06)	23.56% ( -0.01)	17.57% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

0.1)

53.27% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.09)

74.82% (

-0.09)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

0.02)

17.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

0.03)

48.59% (

-0.03)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.94% (

0.13)

44.05% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

0.11)

80.17% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Greece 58.85%

Kosovo 17.57%

Draw 23.56%

Greece	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.85%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.57%