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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kosovo national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pristina City Stadium
Greece national football team

Kosovo
0 - 1
Greece


Fazliji (48'), Aliti (51'), Rrahmani (75')
Aliti (72'), Muric (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakasetas (36')
Giakoumakis (29'), Kourbelis (34'), Athanasiadis (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Greece

Last Six:
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kosovo 1-1 Greece

 Meetings between these two nations - relatively frequent over the past two years - tend to be closely fought, with Greece dictating the play but their Kosovar counterparts holding out for a point. With some good recent form and home advantage on their side, the hosts can repeat such a feat once again and stay tied on top of the early group table, before two more games next week - including the return fixture in Volos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
KosovoDrawGreece
27.81% (-0.032 -0.03) 23.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.7% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)27.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)63.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 27.81%
    Greece 48.84%
    Draw 23.34%
KosovoDrawGreece
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.81%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 48.84%

How you voted: Kosovo vs Greece

Kosovo
33.3%
Draw
24.0%
Greece
42.7%
96
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2021 7.45pm
Group B
Greece
1-1
Kosovo
Masouras (44')
Rrahmani (76')
Shala (29'), Muriqi (57')
Sep 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group B
Kosovo
1-1
Greece
Muriqi (90+2')
Kastrati (36'), Vojvoda (51'), Halimi (68')
Douvikas (45+1')
Tzavellas (6'), Vlachodimos (87')
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League C3
Greece
0-0
Kosovo

Kourbelis (41'), Bouchalakis (90+6')

Shala (18'), Hadergjonaj (61'), Hasani (90+6')
Sep 6, 2020 7.45pm
League C3
Kosovo
1-2
Greece
Berisha (82')
Berisha (45+2'), Nuhiu (84'), Berisha (88')
Limnios (2'), Siovas (51')
Koulouris (45+1'), Kourbelis (89')
rhs 2.0
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