We said: Poland 1-1 Belgium
Poland will be determined to gain revenge on Belgium following their heavy defeat in the first meeting, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and a tight contest on Tuesday evening could end with the spoils being shared.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.