UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
0 - 1
Belgium

Zurkowski (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Batshuayi (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Poland and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:

Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Belgium	3	2	4
3	Poland	3	-4	4
4	Wales	3	-2	1

Belgium

Last Six:

Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Belgium	3	2	4
3	Poland	3	-4	4
4	Wales	3	-2	1

Poland will be determined to gain revenge on Belgium following their heavy defeat in the first meeting, but we are struggling to separate the two sides here. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and a tight contest on Tuesday evening could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Belgium
32.52% ( -0.09)	23.79% ( -0)	43.68% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 61.12% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14% (

-0.03)

40.85% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75% (

-0.03)

63.24% (

0.04)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

-0.07)

24.55% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

-0.1)

59.02% (

0.11)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

0.03)

18.98% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

0.04)

50.53% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Poland 32.52%

Belgium 43.68%

Draw 23.78%

Poland	Draw	Belgium
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.52%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.68%