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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Poland national football team

Netherlands
2 - 2
Poland

Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Poland

Last Six:
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Netherlands 3-1 Poland

 While a change in shape and personnel should at least see Poland's defence tighten up a tad, the visitors' defensive record away from home makes for bleak reading, and a well-rested crop of Netherlands stars should have a glint in their eyes here. Poland always possess a goal threat going forwards, but Van Gaal has overseen a stellar period of rejuvenation at the Oranje helm and will expect to see his side move onto nine points with relative ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
NetherlandsDrawPoland
60.79% (0.059000000000005 0.06) 21.77%17.43% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.05% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.084 -0.08)68.6% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)14.77% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)43.01% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.12 -0.12)40.11% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.11 -0.11)76.75% (0.11200000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 60.78%
    Poland 17.43%
    Draw 21.77%
NetherlandsDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.78%
1-1 @ 10.34%
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.43%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Poland

Netherlands
72.6%
Draw
8.3%
Poland
19.1%
157
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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