Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgium 6-1 Poland
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Netherlands vs. Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Wales 1-2 Netherlands
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Wales vs. Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 2 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Poland 1-1 Wales
Both teams will be determined to start their UEFA Nations League campaign with a victory, but we are predicting a tight affair on Wednesday evening. A draw would not be the worst result for either side, and we can see the pair sharing the spoils in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Poland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Wales |
43.81% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 33.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.05) | 36.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.08% ( -0.05) | 58.93% ( 0.05) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.02) | 17.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.38% ( -0.04) | 47.63% ( 0.03) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.02) | 22.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.36% ( -0.04) | 55.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Poland 43.81%
Wales 33.2%
Draw 23%
| Poland | Draw | Wales |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.2% |
How you voted: Poland vs Wales
Poland
60.4%Draw
19.3%Wales
20.3%374
