Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Portugal5 - 1Poland
Reaction
Cristiano Ronaldo breaks international record as Portugal star overtakes ex-Real Madrid teammate
Al-Nassr and Portugal star Cristiano Ronaldo breaks a men's international record thanks to the Selecao's 5-1 thrashing of Poland in the UEFA Nations League.
Nov 15, 23:19
Cristiano Ronaldo drops retirement hint after breaking another record in Portugal thrashing
Al-Nassr and Portugal goal machine Cristiano Ronaldo says that he is planning to retire "in one or two years", with the forward expected to compete at the 2026 World Cup.
Nov 16, 07:29
The Match
Match Report
Five-star Portugal run riot against Poland with five second-half goals to secure their place in the Nations League quarter-finals with 5-1 victory.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for their UEFA Nations League clash at home to Poland on Friday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Scotland | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Poland |
66.32% ( 0.04) | 19.81% ( 0.05) | 13.88% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
