MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 12:18:05| >> :600:1372776:1372776:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Poland national football team

Portugal
5 - 1
Poland

Leao (59'), Ronaldo (72' pen., 88'), Fernandes (80'), Neto (83')
Fernandes (25'), Neves (25'), Ronaldo (45+2'), Tavares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marczuk (88')
Bulka (56')

The Match

Match Report

Five-star Portugal run riot against Poland with five second-half goals to secure their place in the Nations League quarter-finals with 5-1 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for their UEFA Nations League clash at home to Poland on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Poland 3-3 Croatia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Poland had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawPoland
66.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 19.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 13.88% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.417 -0.42)44.55% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.404 -0.4)66.92% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.113 -0.11)12.55% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.235 -0.23)38.59% (0.237 0.24)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (-0.393 -0.39)43.77% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (-0.326 -0.33)79.93% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 66.31%
    Poland 13.88%
    Draw 19.81%
PortugalDrawPoland
2-0 @ 11.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 66.31%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.81%
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.88%

How you voted: Portugal vs Poland

Portugal
82.5%
Draw
9.1%
Poland
8.4%
274
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-3
Portugal
Zielinski (78')
Walukiewicz (45+1'), Frankowski (51'), Piatek (88'), Skorupski (88')
Silva (26'), Ronaldo (37'), Bednarek (88' og.)
Neto (32')
> Match Report
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Portugal
1-1
Poland
Silva (34')
Silva (64'), Mario (90')
Pereira (63')
Milik (66' pen.)
Cionek (11'), Bednarek (28'), Frankowski (78')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Poland
2-3
Portugal
Piatek (18'), Blaszczykowski (77')
Klich (48'), Krychowiak (62')
Silva (31'), Glik (43' og.), Silva (52')
Silva (37'), Carvalho (67'), Pepe (74'), Silva (78')
Jun 30, 2016 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Poland
1-1
Portugal
(Aggregate 1-1 | Portugal win 5-4 on penalties)
Lewandowski (2')
Jedrzejczyk (42'), Glik (66'), Kapustka (89')
Sanches (33')
Silva (71')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Brentford187383232024
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!