Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Universitario de Lisboa
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Cristiano Ronaldo scores his 901st career goal as Portugal fight back from a goal down to defeat Scotland 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with struggling Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 77.45%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Portugal | Draw | Scotland |
77.45% ( -0.56) | 14.01% ( 0.25) | 8.54% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.01% ( -0.13) | 31.98% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% ( -0.15) | 53.55% ( 0.15) |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.3% ( -0.14) | 6.69% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.21% ( -0.36) | 24.79% ( 0.36) |
Scotland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.11% ( 0.59) | 44.88% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.16% ( 0.47) | 80.84% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Portugal 77.44%
Scotland 8.54%
Draw 14.01%
Portugal | Draw | Scotland |
2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 77.44% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.01% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.62% Total : 8.54% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Scotland
Portugal
91.4%Draw
5.1%Scotland
3.5%198
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-05 23:38:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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