MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 19:24:50| >> :120:22914:22914:
Croatia national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Opus Arena
Poland national football team

Croatia
1 - 0
Poland

Modric (52')
Kovacic (2'), Pjaca (14'), Sucic (40'), Petkovic (68'), Budimir (90+1'), Probierz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bednarek (44'), Probierz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Croatia 1-1 Poland

Croatia could be frustrated in their attempt to halt a worrying winless run, as Poland will be buoyed by events on Thursday and have enough nous to score at least once. With the hosts missing some players - and others are now a fading force - the Eagles can fly home with another point towards their Group 1 total. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawPoland
50.72% (0.232 0.23) 26.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.02% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (-0.154 -0.15)57.1% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (-0.124 -0.12)77.98% (0.126 0.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)22.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)56.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.67% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)40.33% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (-0.276 -0.28)76.96% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 50.71%
    Poland 23.02%
    Draw 26.26%
CroatiaDrawPoland
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.08% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Croatia vs Poland

Croatia
46.3%
Draw
25.9%
Poland
27.8%
205
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Jets
17-23
Vikings
6pm
Panthers
@
Bears
6pm
Ravens
@
Bengals
6pm
Colts
@
Jags
6pm
Dolphins
@
Patriots
6pm
Bills
@
Texans
6pm
Browns
@
Washington
9.05pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Packers
@
Rams
9.25pm
Giants
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea7421168814
5Aston Villa7421129314
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton73311310312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
8Fulham7322108211
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs7313148610
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
11Brentford73131313010
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd722358-38
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!