Scotland

2 - 0

Armenia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.