MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:30:29| >> :60:103:103:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Scotland national football team

Rep. Ireland
3 - 0
Scotland

Browne (20'), Parrott (28'), Obafemi (51')
Duffy (60'), Robinson (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Christie (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Republic of Ireland 1-1 Scotland

Despite their dismal Nations League record, Republic of Ireland will hope to have a change of fortunes at some stage. While that may not necessarily come on Saturday, we feel that the Green Army will do enough to claim a hard-earned share of the spoils in a tight match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawScotland
24.18% (0.132 0.13) 26.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 48.84% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.39% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28% (0.061 0.06)58.73% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (0.045999999999999 0.05)79.26% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.157 0.16)40.15% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.143 0.14)76.79% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)24.16% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)58.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 24.18%
    Scotland 48.83%
    Draw 26.98%
Republic of IrelandDrawScotland
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.74% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 13.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 48.83%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Scotland

Republic of Ireland
47.4%
Draw
5.3%
Scotland
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2015 5pm
Nov 14, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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