World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Jun 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Scotland1 - 3Ukraine
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yarmolenko (33'), Yaremchuk (49'), Dovbyk (90+5')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')
Yaremchuk (5'), Malinovskyi (11'), Shaparenko (84')
The Match
Match Report
Ukraine record a 3-1 victory over Scotland in their World Cup playoff semi-final on an emotion-fuelled evening in Glasgow.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Scotland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Armenia
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Ukraine |
50.02% ( -0.01) | 25.77% ( 0) | 24.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.66% ( -0.01) | 54.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% ( -0.01) | 75.72% ( 0.01) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.01) | 21.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.06% ( -0.01) | 54.94% ( 0.01) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0) | 37.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.56% | 74.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Scotland 50.01%
Ukraine 24.21%
Draw 25.76%
| Scotland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.21% |
How you voted: Scotland vs Ukraine
Scotland
62.8%Draw
13.4%Ukraine
23.8%382
Form Guide
