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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
St James' Park
West Ham logo

Newcastle
3 - 2
West Ham

Diop (36' og.), Joelinton (41'), Willock (82')
Shelvey (16'), Murphy (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diop (73'), Lingard (80' pen.)
Dawson (12')
Dawson (36')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

West Ham United will travel to Newcastle United on Saturday afternoon knowing that a win would see them move into third position in the Premier League table.

The Hammers are currently fourth in England's top flight, one point behind third-placed Leicester City, while Newcastle occupy 17th position, now six points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Newcastle United's Allan Saint-Maximin celebrates scoring against Burnley in the Premier League on April 11, 2021© Reuters

Newcastle are far from out of the relegation picture, but it would be fair to say that last weekend's 2-1 success at Burnley was a huge result in the context of their fight to remain at the top level of English football.

For all of the criticism aimed at Steve Bruce's side, they have actually only lost one of their last six in the Premier League and have managed to pick up four points from their last two fixtures at home to Tottenham Hotspur and away to Burnley, which have boosted their chances of staying in the league.

As it stands, the Magpies are 17th in the table, six points clear of 18th-placed Fulham, and they also have a game in hand over the Cottagers, who are now in danger of being cut adrift in their fight for survival.

Newcastle have been boosted by the recent returns of Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin from injury, and the latter came off the bench to score a brilliant winner for Bruce's side at Turf Moor last weekend.

The four-time English champions will now be looking to put another important three points on the board this weekend, but they have struggled on home soil this term, picking up just 17 points from 15 matches.

West Ham United's Jesse Lingard celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Premier League on April 11, 2021© Reuters

West Ham, meanwhile, will be bidding to make it three Premier League victories in a row this weekend, boosting their chances of claiming a Champions League position in the process.

Since losing 1-0 at Manchester United on March 14, David Moyes's side have picked up seven points from their three matches against Arsenal, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, holding on to beat Wolves and Leicester 3-2 in their last two fixtures.

As it stands, the London club are fourth in the table, one point behind third-placed Leicester, while they are one point clear of fifth-placed Chelsea; Liverpool in sixth are just three points off the Champions League positions, meanwhile, and it is set to be a fascinating battle for a top-four spot.

West Ham will feel that they are in an excellent position to claim at least a position in next season's Europa League, which would represent a brilliant campaign for the Hammers.

Moyes's team have the second-best home record in this season's Premier League, but they have dropped points in eight of their 15 top-flight fixtures on their travels.

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

West Ham United Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson after being substituted due to injury in February 2021© Reuters

Newcastle will again be without the services of Ryan Fraser, Jamaal Lascelles, Fabian Schar and Isaac Hayden on Saturday afternoon due to injury.

As mentioned, Saint-Maximin and Wilson both featured off the bench against Burnley, and it would not be a surprise to see the pair come into the starting XI on Saturday afternoon.

Bruce is expected to keep faith with the majority of the side that started at Turf Moor, with Jacob Murphy and Matt Ritchie featuring in the wing-back positions, while it could be a straight swap in the final third with Wilson and Saint-Maximin coming in for Joelinton and Dwight Gayle.

As for West Ham, Angelo Ogbonna, Declan Rice and Michail Antonio will again be unavailable for selection, while the match is expected to come too soon for Darren Randolph and Andriy Yarmolenko.

Manuel Lanzini should shake off a knock to make the bench, while Mark Noble is expected to be available for selection despite suffering a kick to his elbow during the clash with Leicester.

Aaron Cresswell is unlikely to feature due to a thigh problem, though, meaning that Fabian Balbuena could be in line for a start alongside Issa Diop and Craig Dawson in a defensive area.

Jesse Lingard has scored eight goals and registered four assists in nine appearances for the Hammers since arriving on loan, and the England international will again feature in the final third of the field.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Fernandez, Clark, Dummett; Murphy, Almiron, Shelvey, Longstaff, Ritchie; Saint-Maximin, Wilson

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Diop, Dawson, Balbuena; Coufal, Noble, Soucek, Masuaku; Lingard, Bowen, Fornals


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 1-2 West Ham United

Newcastle are still under pressure towards the bottom of the table, but the Magpies are not in any immediate danger of dropping into the relegation zone, which could work in West Ham's favour. The Hammers will again be missing some key players on Saturday, but we fancy them to just have enough to edge out another victory to move into third position in the Premier League table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Newcastle vs West Ham

Newcastle United
17.9%
Draw
20.2%
West Ham United
61.8%
173
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West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on February 27, 2021
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7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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