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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 3
Linfield

Stewart (58'), Callacher (90+4')
Callacher (26'), Franklin (61'), Stewart (72'), Fitzpatrick (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McClean (40', 86'), Fitzpatrick (62')
Fitzpatrick (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-3 Glentoran
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
30.68% (6.464 6.46) 24.69% (0.79 0.79) 44.63% (-7.251 -7.25)
Both teams to score 57.07% (2.592 2.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (1.02 1.02)45.8% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.962 0.96)68.12% (-0.958 -0.96)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (5.414 5.41)28.13% (-5.41 -5.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (6.376 6.38)63.8% (-6.372 -6.37)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-2.563 -2.56)20.6% (2.567 2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-4.218 -4.22)53.15% (4.223 4.22)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 30.68%
    Linfield 44.63%
    Draw 24.69%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 7.37% (1.181 1.18)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.742 0.74)
2-0 @ 4.66% (1.051 1.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.862 0.86)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.531 0.53)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.656 0.66)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.373 0.37)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.68%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.522 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.521 -0.52)
0-1 @ 9.15% (-1.206 -1.21)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-1.642 -1.64)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.705 -0.71)
0-3 @ 3.81% (-1.258 -1.26)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.665 -0.67)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.63%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Owens (56')
Lowry (28'), Larmour (37'), Owens (51'), Kennedy (58'), Weir (78'), O'Rourke (86')
Cooper (32'), Finlayson (90+3' og.)
Cooper (48'), Hall (53'), Fitzpatrick (65'), Mulgrew (81')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Linfield
1-0
Crusaders
Archer (27')
Hall (55'), Fallon (90')

Winchester (25')
Jan 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Crusaders
0-1
Linfield

Joe Burns (31'), Clarke (52'), Anderson (71'), Heatley (90+5')
East (45+1')
Annett (56'), Hall (75'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Cooper (10'), Fitzpatrick (23')
Clarke (62'), East (65'), Cooper (72')

Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (61'), Weir (61'), O'Rourke (78'), Lecky (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield16112333141935
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
5ColeraineColeraine177462822625
6PortadownPortadown167452317625
7GlentoranGlentoran177371816224
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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