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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 0
Crusaders

Archer (27')
Hall (55'), Fallon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (25')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Crusaders win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
59.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 20.5%20.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.073 -0.07)36.27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)58.39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)37.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)31.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.108 -0.11)67.68% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 59.39%
    Crusaders 20.11%
    Draw 20.5%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Crusaders
0-1
Linfield

Joe Burns (31'), Clarke (52'), Anderson (71'), Heatley (90+5')
East (45+1')
Annett (56'), Hall (75'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Cooper (10'), Fitzpatrick (23')
Clarke (62'), East (65'), Cooper (72')

Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (61'), Weir (61'), O'Rourke (78'), Lecky (83')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
2-0
Linfield
Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon11623168820
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne842296314
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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