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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 3
Crusaders

Malone (74')
Campbell (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Rourke (45+1'), Heatley (65'), Owens (90+3')
Heatley (58'), Larmour (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Larne
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
17.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 21.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 60.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.86% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.17% (0.012 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)76.29% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.0039999999999907 0)14.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 17.63%
    Crusaders 60.63%
    Draw 21.73%
GlenavonDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 17.63%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.63%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
2-0
Glenavon
Heatley (44'), Lowry (58')
Clarke (79')

Quinn (45')
Brown (82')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Glenavon
2-2
Crusaders
Fitzpatrick (55'), Doran (74')
Heatley (69'), Lowry (90+2')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Glenavon
4-2
Crusaders
Campbell (36', 50'), Fitzpatrick (40'), O'Rourke (87' og.)
Lowry (48'), Joe Burns (70')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Crusaders
3-2
Glenavon
Lowry (44'), Lecky (64', 69')
Campbell (38'), Scannell (50')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Crusaders
0-0
Glenavon
Forsythe (45'), (65')
Snoddy (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon11623168820
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne842296314
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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